Surprised?? Never get surprised in this ever changing world, especially when the matter is about politics,that too Indian politics. Politics is probably the only entity that changes faster than technology.It requires solving of a larger number of permutations and combination than any mathematical problem, Its more complex than any neural network. OK that's it,you got whats politics is.
Now, talking about Goa, It's one of the smallest state in the south west of one of the largest state of India. That signifies a lot about this state's independent identity, culture and an unique history. Its never ruled by the British rather it was a Portuguese colony before it was seized by the Indian Army after independence. Portuguese, unlike British are more orthodox and conservative and less fanatic and cunning. They don't have the so called "Baniye ka dimaag" like the British, neither they are concerned about it. That's the reason Goa has almost 35% of Christians and unlike the missionary converted ones influenced by false propaganda, they are the true ones that gives a cosmopolitan image and a self pride to Goa which makes it a colorful state and a prime tourist attraction,of course the beach has a larger part in it.
Lets talk about the BJP in Goa.Ever since the State is carved out of Maharashtra, RSS has a very strong presence here and due to the liberal nature of the state the Shivsena could not able to create its foot hold in it.Traditionally BJP is considered as a party of Upper casts, so Goa never possessed the threat of caste equation imbalance to BJP. Like every other states the RSS creates its base here on the issue of indigenous culture protection and liberal hindutva. Whenever the state govt succumbs to the foreign culture or makes policy for christian appeasement RSS sense the opportunity and BJP forms govt.
From 2007-2012 during the Digambar Kamat govt when both Center and State have congress govt , there was rampant conversion, spread of missionaries, and high influence of churches on govt bodies was seen; so much that it almost had become a serious threat to existence of the Goan indigenous culture and konkani language. Though with the face of Manohar Parikar and issue of a mining scam, bjp seemed to form the govt in 2012 but the real issue was conservation of Goan culture and emotion of the Hindus that drove party to power, even MGP also allied with BJP for a greater cause of protecting Goan Identity.
In the current situation, BJP is in power in both state and centre. NM is trying to get the support of rest of the world to fight the combo of pakistan-china threat.Though he can afford anything against the Muslims as it creates the space to occupy power, he can not afford anything against Christians as India is heavily dependent on the West be it US,UK or France. These countries mostly concerned with how to sell their defense equipment to India but anything big fiasco against the christian minority in India going to hurt India very badly as the govt.s of the Wests will be pressurized by the public to break ties with India.
Now as BJP after coming to goa did nothing for preserving the goan culture as it has promised like eradicating the grants to missionary schools,liberalization of English education,abolishing of casino culture,it is evident that a devoted RSS worker felt betrayed and the RSS state unit is divided virtually collapsed with state chief Vellingker creating a parallel political party. But the BJP's hands were tied, it does not want to disappoint the western masters.
After the promotion of Manohar Parikar to center,there are no other leader of national importance for BJP in Goa, Laxmikant parsekar became the CM.He did like "Apne per pe Kulhadi Marna" when he publicly told that Narenda Modi asked him whether AAP can be a threat to BJP in Goa. It certainly hurt the ego of the PM,who is not a guy to easily forgive. He is as arrogant as many successful person, he is autocratic, confident and hard working. Goa does not matter to him much in terms of political gain but his self pride cant be distorted.
So reason number 1. PM does not want the incumbent CM to win, because it will make him feel like a looser.So much his pride matters that,this is the first time BJP did not declare CM candidate where they already in Power. He wants his influence greater than CM, with Parikkar he couldn't do that
Reason number 2. Goa with a tiny state does not give much revenue except from tourism.The state govt revenue from tourism is much less than what central govt gets through Visas, taxes etc.
Reason number 3. Bjp could not undo what congress has done because of the western pressure but it can certainly prevent further appeasement or further empowerment of Churches and missionaries. It can contain them anyhow as they are in power at the centre. BJP does not need to win the state election for that.
Reason number 4. With a govt of opposition party at power BJP can again raise issue of misgovernance,corruption or anything against the govt and the RSS again silently work on the issue of protecting the culture, which will benefit them in the Parliamentary election in 2019.Why to waste energy for a state election..
Reason number 5. Bjp wants to demolish one party either AAP or congress from the state. Direct contest always helps BJP. Like in Delhi where congress is at 0, BJP want one of them to be 0 in Goa.
So why to win. You can always get the number for power in the center, with out altering the diplomacy, without loosing money,also with out compromising the ideology. So why to take the burden of Governing??? Don't be surprised if BJP looses GOA. If at all it could not able to loose, one thing is certain Parsekar career is over unless until he does something seriously big to please Our PM.